Monday, Jun. 10, 1996

REPUBLICAN VOTERS, CLASS OF 1994: WHAT THEY PLAN TO DO NEXT

Who are the counter-revolutionaries? The latest TIME/CNN Election Monitor surveyed Americans who voted in '94 for GOP contenders for Congress. The poll found a cohort of deserters large enough to give Democrats high hopes. The current turncoats tend to be Democrats who strayed and are returning home. They are generally young, pro-choice, worried about the economy, in favor of gun control and fed up with budget cutting and Newt Gingrich.

HOW BIG THE BACKLASH MIGHT BE

If the election for President were held today, whom would you vote for?*

72% Dole 25% Clinton 3% Not sure/Other

Would you vote for the Democratic or the Republican candidate for Congress?*

77% Republican 19% Democratic 4% Not sure/Other

If you could do it over, would you vote for the Republican candidate for Congress in the 1994 election?

84% Yes 14% No 2% Not sure/Other

*leaners added

WHAT THE REAL ISSUE IS

Are economic problems or moral problems more important in choosing a President in 1996?

49% Economic 39% Moral 11% Both Equally* *volunteered response

WHY THEY SUPPORTED THE REVOLUTION

Which of the following was a major reason you voted for a Republican congressional candidate in 1994?

You disagreed with Democratic Party policies 81% You disagreed with President Clinton's policies 76% You wanted to see the Republican Party control Congress 73% You supported the Republican's Contract with America 71% You wanted to see Newt Gingrich as Speaker of the House 32%

HOW DEEP THE CUTS FEEL

Do you agree that the Republicans in Congress are going too far in cutting back government programs?

38% Agree* 60% Disagree* *strongly and somewhat

WHERE THEY LIKE BILL

Percentage who say they approve of Bill Clinton's position on:

The Vchip, to block children from seeing objectionable TV programs 64%

Education spending 49%

Anticrime policy 46%

Environment protection 43%

Welfare reform 34%

Proposals to balance the budget 32%

Moral-values issues 32%

Abortion 30%

Changes in Medicare 28%

Taxes 21%

From a telephone poll of 831 registered voters who voted for a Republican candidate for Congress in 1994 taken for TIME/CNN May 24-28 by Yankelovich Partners Inc. Sampling error: plus or minus 3.5% "Not sures" omitted.