Friday, Mar. 29, 1968
Nasty but Necessary
Everyone had known since the devaluation of sterling four months ago that Britain would have to produce a tough budget this spring in order to re establish international confidence in the pound. But, as Britons discovered last week, no one had guessed quite how tough. In a commanding and convinc ing 135-minute speech, Chancellor of the Exchequer Roy Jenkins spelled out new fiscal measures that are the most se vere since the Depression year of 1930. They will levy on already heavily bur dened Britons a total of $4 billion in new taxes during the next 21 months. Said the Times of London: "Nasty--but necessary."
Blunt & Brutal. Jenkins, who took over the chancellorship last November after James Callaghan quit in humiliation because of the devaluation, reject ed the half measures with which Prime Minister Harold Wilson's government in the past has tried to cope with Brit ain's worsening economy. Instead, he struck squarely at the most bothersome aspect of Britain's financial weakness: a balance of payments deficit that reached $1.3 billion last year. He hopes to turn that deficit into a $1.2 billion surplus this year by the blunt and bru tal method of taking money from British pockets. If the British have less buying power, he reckons, they will import less, export more.
Britons, who already pay among the world's highest income taxes (a top executive with a $14,000 annual salary hands over $4,100 to Her Majesty's cof fers), now face higher purchase taxes on thousands of consumer items from liquor to lollipops, TV sets to autos. The tax on Scotch rose 300, to $4.80, lifting the total purchase price of a bottle to $6.48. Because of the tax, cigarettes rose 20, to 670 a pack (total tax: 450), and gasoline increased 40, to 730 for an imperial gallon (total tax: 470). The new levy added a penny to ice-cream cones. New price: 70.
The bite on an average black-and-white TV set increased by $8, to $50, pushed up the total purchase tag to just above $200. The government's cut on a $4,860 diamond bracelet is now $1,620 v. $1,080 in pre-Jenkins times; not surprisingly, the jewelers passed the increases along to the customers. The new $1,270 tag on British Motors' Austin Mini reflects a $48 rise in the old $233 purchase tax. Not forgetting the rich, Jenkins also imposed a new one-year levy on investment income, creating a situation in which a man who earns $48,000 in dividends will have to pay nearly $16,000 in taxes.
Due' to taxes and devaluation, Qrit-ons can expect their cost of living in 1968 to increase at least 5% and possibly more. But Jenkins also announced that he intends to hold Britain's wage increases to a maximum of 3 1/2% for another 18 months. That grim arithmetic means that Britons will not get enough extra money to meet the rising costs. As a result, for the first time in 17 years, the British will experience a downturn in their standard of living.
Dispassionate Manner. The presentation of such bitter fiscal medicine might have scarred the career of many a public figure. It actually seemed to have enhanced the prestige of Jenkins, 47, who, in the wake of Foreign Secretary George Brown's resignation, has become the unofficial No. 2 man in the Labor Party behind Wilson, 52. A graduate of Oxford's Balliol College, Jenkins has a genial academic air about him. Financiers in the City regard him as a dependable, realistic economist, while both Labor and Tory M.P.s, many of whom have grown weary of Wilson's often devious tactics, like Jenkins for his straightforward manner.
Some Labor M.P.s, mindful that the party faces four by-elections this week, were unhappy about having to defend Jenkins' austerity budget before the voters. But Wilson passed the word that the Cabinet was solidly behind Jenkins and that no less allegiance was expected from the rank and file. Beyond any doubt, Jenkins' budget impressed the people who mattered most--the International Monetary Fund executives and the European central bankers. As news of his severe budget spread from one financial center to another, the value of the pound rallied on world markets. Clearly, Jenkins has undertaken the most impressive rescue operation yet for the pound--and for Britain.
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