Monday, Sep. 23, 1940

Roosevelt Up

Because peeping Walter Winchell had scooped its Presidential poll and got his facts wrong, FORTUNE last week released a digest of the poll two weeks before its scheduled publication in the magazine's October issue. The poll showed 53.2% of U. S. voters for Franklin Roosevelt, 35.6% for Wendell Willkie. FORTUNE'S conclusion: "Eliminating the undecided, only 43.9% seem to be in favor of his [Willkie's] election, against 56.1% opposed to it. But in the number of people answering 'don't know'--10.8% more than those having no opinion on Roosevelt--lie Willkie's chances to be elected."

Although the FORTUNE poll was taken before Wendell Willkie's acceptance speech last month, an indication of the trend since then was offered by this week's Gallup poll of five "border" States: Missouri, Kentucky, West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware. In three of the five the Gallup poll gave Roosevelt an average of 55%. In only one, Kentucky, had Willkie made a gain (1%) since the five were polled on Aug. 25. In Missouri and West Virginia he had dropped 2%, in Delaware 1%. In Maryland he had held his ground (44%).

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